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Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

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30 cases that moved in the last scoring run

Javi Morcillo

CM · 20 · LaLiga

Atl. MadrileñoElche CF

permanent · 2026-08-06 · 26/27

Appearances
4
Last observed
2026-09-12
Predictions

-0.162

skill score on this case

Scored on
2 appearances
Knew at lock
2 played
Metrictotal passes1 / 4
Share of his 4 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-7
8-14
15-20
21-26
27-32
33-38
39-45
46-55
56+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

total passes per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
-0.162arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 2 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 4 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works