Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

877 cases

Paul Nardi

GK · 32 · Ligue 1

QPRAJ Auxerre

free · 2026-07-22 · 26/27

Appearances
4
Last observed
2026-11-07
Predictions

+0.005

skill score on this case

Scored on
4 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metricsaves1 / 3
Share of his 4 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-1
2
3-4
5+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

saves per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.005arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 5 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 4 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works