Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

809 cases

Harry Wilson

W · 29 · Premier League

FulhamLeeds United

free · 2026-07-08 · 26/27

Appearances
4
Last observed
2026-09-14
Predictions

-0.017

skill score on this case

Scored on
1 appearance
Knew at lock
2 played
Metricdribbles won1 / 4
Share of his 4 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0
1
2-4
5+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

dribbles won per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
-0.017arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 2 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 4 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works