Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

809 cases

James Trafford

GK · 23 · Premier League

Man CityLeeds United

permanent · 2026-08-06 · 26/27

Appearances
5
Last observed
2026-09-20
Predictions

+0.180

skill score on this case

Scored on
2 appearances
Knew at lock
2 played
Metricsaves1 / 3
Share of his 5 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-1
2
3
4-5
6+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

saves per match · axis to 80%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.180arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 2 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works