Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

809 cases

Nico Elvedi

CB · 29 · Premier League

MönchengladbachLeeds United

permanent · 2026-08-19 · 26/27

Appearances
4
Last observed
2026-09-20
Predictions

+0.378

skill score on this case

Scored on
2 appearances
Knew at lock
1 played
Metricclearances1 / 4
Share of his 4 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-2
3-4
5-6
7-11
12+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

clearances per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.378arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 2 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 4 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

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