Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

809 cases

Hugo Larsson

CM · 22 · Premier League

FrankfurtFulham FC

loan · 2026-09-01 · 26/27

Appearances
3
Last observed
2026-09-20
Predictions

+0.088

skill score on this case

Scored on
2 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metrictotal passes1 / 4
Share of his 3 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-7
8-14
15-21
22-27
28-33
34-39
40-46
47-55
56-71
72+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

total passes per match · axis to 80%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.088arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 2 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 3 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works