Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

877 cases

Diego Moreira

W · 22 · Serie A

R. StrasbourgAC Milan

permanent · 2026-08-19 · 26/27

Appearances
6
Last observed
2026-10-31
Predictions

+0.017

skill score on this case

Scored on
5 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metricdribbles won1 / 4
Share of his 6 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0
1
2
3
4+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

dribbles won per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.017arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 9 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works