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Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

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809 cases

Arthur Theate

CB · 26 · Serie A

FrankfurtBologna FC 1909

loan · 2026-08-30 · 26/27

Appearances
2
Last observed
2026-09-13
Predictions

+0.062

skill score on this case

Scored on
1 appearance
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metricclearances1 / 4
Share of his 2 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-1
2-3
4-5
6-10
11+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

clearances per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
+0.062arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 1 scored weekabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 2 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works