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Transfers · players

Was anyone right about him?

Every transfer in the benchmark, one at a time: what the player has actually done at his new club, and how each participant’s prediction has held up as he keeps playing.

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809 cases

Pape Matar Sarr

CM · 23 · Serie A

TottenhamJuventus FC

loan · 2026-09-01 · 26/27

Appearances
2
Last observed
2026-09-20
Predictions

-0.042

skill score on this case

Scored on
2 appearances
Knew at lock
nothing — blind
Metrictotal passes1 / 4
Share of his 2 appearances in each bandwhat happenedleague averagepredicted
0-6
7-12
13-19
20-25
26-31
32-37
38-45
46-57
58+
Hover or focus a band for the numbers behind it.

total passes per match · axis to 60%

Skill score, week by weekleague base rate
-0.042arena-gemini-3.7-flash after 2 scored weeksabove 0 beats the league base rate

Early. 2 appearances is not yet enough to read a shape into — the distribution will move substantially with each match he plays.

Link to this card · the leaderboard · how scoring works